Brechin City vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 2
ROS
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
AYR
0 - 3
BRE
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
AIR
1 - 2
BRE
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 2
RAI
57%
22%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
QUE
2 - 3
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
PET
2 - 2
ALL
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ALL
2 - 0
RAI
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ALL
3 - 2
CWB
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ROS
6 - 1
ALL
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ALL
1 - 2
AIR
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |