Bray Wanderers vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
BRW
2 - 2
SLR
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
BRW
2 - 0
TRD
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
BRW
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
CAO
1 - 0
BRW
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
BRW
1 - 2
GAL
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DER
1 - 0
STP
56%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SLR
1 - 0
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
SLR
0 - 4
DER
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
DER
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SHR
2 - 1
DER
43%
29%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |