2. Division Grupo 1 round 4

Brattvåg vs Vard analysis

Brattvåg Vard
46 ELO 45
16.8% Tilt 18.4%
4000º General ELO ranking 5071º
53º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
62.3%
Brattvåg
19.8%
Draw
18%
Vard

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
Brattvåg
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.9%
Win probability
Vard
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brattvåg
+12%
-15%
Vard

Points and table prediction

Brattvåg
Their league position
Vard
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
14º
27
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Egersund
62
62
100%
Lyn 1896 FK
62
62
100%
FK Arendal
44
44
100%
Notodden
36
39
100%
Grorud IL
36
36
100%
Kjelsås
35
35
100%
Ørn Horten
33
33
0%
Brattvåg
33
33
0%
Flekkeroy
32
32
100%
Vålerenga II
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Vard
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Træff
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Fram
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Aalesunds FK II
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Brattvåg
Vard
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Brattvåg
Vard
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brattvåg
Brattvåg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
GRO
Grorud IL
2 - 1
Brattvåg
BRA
38%
24%
38%
48 47 1 0
10 Apr. 2023
TRA
Træff
0 - 3
Brattvåg
BRA
33%
23%
43%
48 44 4 0
02 Apr. 2023
RAU
Raufoss IL
2 - 1
Brattvåg
BRA
60%
19%
21%
48 53 5 0
26 Mar. 2023
HOD
Hødd
1 - 1
Brattvåg
BRA
64%
20%
16%
48 60 12 0
18 Mar. 2023
TFC
Traeff
0 - 1
Brattvåg
BRA
14%
16%
71%
48 35 13 0

Matches

Vard
Vard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2023
VAR
Vard
3 - 1
Aalesunds FK II
AAL
36%
27%
37%
42 47 5 0
15 Apr. 2023
ORN
Ørn Horten
3 - 0
Vard
VAR
56%
22%
22%
43 45 2 -1
10 Apr. 2023
VAR
Vard
1 - 3
Egersund
EGE
21%
23%
57%
44 55 11 -1
01 Apr. 2023
DJE
Djerv 1919
2 - 2
Vard
VAR
30%
21%
49%
44 38 6 0
25 Mar. 2023
VAR
Vard
4 - 4
Os Turn
OTF
67%
19%
15%
44 33 11 0