Brasiliense vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 1
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
BRA
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
UBE
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 6
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
RIO
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
RVV
31%
27%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |