Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Brasília vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAP
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CEI
0 - 0
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 2
BRA
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SOB
0 - 1
BRA
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEN
21%
23%
55%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CUI
2 - 0
CEC
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CUI
2 - 1
DES
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CUI
0 - 0
RON
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
DES
0 - 0
CUI
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
URO
2 - 0
CUI
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |