Brasil Farroupilha vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 3
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAN
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 3
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
SAP
3 - 3
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 0
ECJ
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
SAP
2 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 1
ECJ
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ECJ
2 - 0
SAP
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
SAP
3 - 3
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
PAN
0 - 0
SAP
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |