RB Bragantino Sub 20 vs Bahia Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
BRA
10%
14%
77%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 3
FLU
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CEA
3 - 1
BRA
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 4
BOT
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
INT
2 - 2
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bahia Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
JOI
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 3
GRE
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
BAH
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
BAH
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 3
CRU
26%
22%
53%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |