Braganca vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
6º
14
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 43 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 42 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 38 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 36 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 33 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 31 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 30 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 26 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 61% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PEV
0 - 1
BRA
79%
15%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
VIA
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 1
SMA
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 3
VIA
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 0
VSC
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
REB
2 - 1
TIR
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FIA
0 - 3
TIR
15%
17%
68%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 4
TIR
16%
18%
66%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 1
SAL
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |