Braganca vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
70.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
BRA
3 - 2
RIO
13%
21%
65%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
BRA
2 - 0
VAR
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PEN
1 - 2
BRA
46%
23%
30%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
SLB
6 - 0
BRA
99%
1%
0%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
BRA
0 - 2
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 88 | 51 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2001 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
30%
25%
44%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
FCP
0 - 0
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2001 |
FCP
4 - 0
SLB
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |