Braganca vs Atlético Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
7º
4º
15
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 56 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 49 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 31 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TIR
0 - 1
BRA
53%
26%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
PEV
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIA
1 - 0
BRA
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
JOA
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ATA
1 - 1
VSC
24%
25%
52%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
REB
3 - 0
ATA
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 1
OSA
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 3
PAR
34%
28%
39%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
OSL
2 - 1
ATA
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |