League Two round 18

Bradford City vs Barrow analysis

Bradford City Barrow
62 ELO 56
-6% Tilt -7.9%
1869º General ELO ranking 2486º
60º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
53.9%
Bradford City
24.7%
Draw
21.5%
Barrow

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
Bradford City
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.5%
Win probability
Barrow
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bradford City
-5%
-17%
Barrow

Points and table prediction

Bradford City
Their league position
Barrow
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
10º
26
19º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Walsall
46
92
69.5%
Notts County
34
78
17%
Doncaster Rovers
36
78
14%
Chesterfield
34
75
16%
Crewe Alexandra
35
74
8.5%
AFC Wimbledon
34
73
7%
Salford City
33
72
8%
Port Vale
37
70
8%
Milton Keynes Dons
11º
30
69
9%
Bradford City
10º
31
68
10º
4%
Bromley
12º
30
66
11º
3%
Cheltenham Town
14º
30
65
12º
6%
Grimsby Town
34
64
13º
6.5%
Fleetwood Town
16º
26
63
14º
7%
Colchester United
15º
26
59
15º
7.5%
Newport County
18º
26
58
16º
5.5%
Swindon Town
21º
20
55
17º
9.5%
Gillingham
13º
30
55
18º
11.5%
Barrow
17º
26
53
19º
10%
Tranmere Rovers
19º
21
51
20º
9%
Accrington Stanley
22º
19
49
21º
13%
Harrogate Town
20º
21
48
22º
15%
Morecambe
23º
17
43
23º
27%
Carlisle United
24º
15
36
24º
52.5%
Expected probabilities
Bradford City
Barrow
Promotion
10% 0%
Promotion play-offs
28.5% 2.5%
Mid-table
61.5% 89.5%
Relegation
0% 8%

ELO progression

Bradford City
Barrow
Grimsby Town
Tranmere Rovers
Chesterfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bradford City
Bradford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2024
MOR
Morecambe
1 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
26%
23%
51%
63 54 9 0
19 Nov. 2024
BRA
Bradford City
0 - 1
Rotherham United
ROT
44%
24%
32%
64 61 3 -1
16 Nov. 2024
COL
Colchester United
1 - 1
Bradford City
BRA
28%
27%
45%
64 55 9 0
09 Nov. 2024
FLE
Fleetwood Town
1 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
36%
28%
36%
65 61 4 -1
02 Nov. 2024
BRA
Bradford City
3 - 1
Aldershot Town
ALD
67%
19%
14%
64 49 15 +1

Matches

Barrow
Barrow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2024
CHE
Chesterfield
1 - 0
Barrow
BAR
61%
21%
18%
56 61 5 0
16 Nov. 2024
BAR
Barrow
1 - 3
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
29%
29%
42%
57 64 7 -1
12 Nov. 2024
BAR
Barrow
3 - 0
Aston Villa U21
AVI
57%
21%
22%
56 40 16 +1
09 Nov. 2024
BAR
Barrow
1 - 1
Colchester United
COL
43%
28%
29%
56 54 2 0
02 Nov. 2024
BAR
Barrow
0 - 1
Doncaster Rovers
DON
21%
22%
57%
57 65 8 -1