Copa Colombia Grupo C round 1

Boyacá Chicó vs Real Santander analysis

Boyacá Chicó Real Santander
71 ELO 53
-3.2% Tilt 6.2%
512º General ELO ranking 2385º
18º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
70.5%
Boyacá Chicó
18.3%
Draw
11.2%
Real Santander

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
Boyacá Chicó
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.2%
Win probability
Real Santander
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boyacá Chicó
-18%
-24%
Real Santander

ELO progression

Boyacá Chicó
Real Santander
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boyacá Chicó
Boyacá Chicó
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2014
IND
Independiente Medellín
2 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
49%
25%
25%
71 74 3 0
12 Apr. 2014
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
3 - 0
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
55%
25%
20%
71 66 5 0
10 Apr. 2014
FOR
Fortaleza
0 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
30%
27%
43%
71 64 7 0
07 Apr. 2014
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
0 - 1
Águilas Doradas
AGU
36%
28%
36%
71 77 6 0
03 Apr. 2014
JUN
Junior
2 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
60%
22%
18%
72 79 7 -1

Matches

Real Santander
Real Santander
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2014
REA
Real Santander
2 - 0
Deportivo Rionegro
RIO
21%
24%
55%
51 64 13 0
04 May. 2014
BAR
Barranquilla
4 - 1
Real Santander
REA
41%
25%
35%
53 50 3 -2
30 Apr. 2014
REA
Real Santander
3 - 3
Internacional de Palmira
COR
31%
28%
42%
53 61 8 0
27 Apr. 2014
PER
Deportivo Pereira
4 - 2
Real Santander
REA
52%
24%
24%
54 57 3 -1
19 Apr. 2014
REA
Real Santander
0 - 1
América de Cali
AME
26%
29%
46%
55 69 14 -1