Clausura Colombia round 19

Boyacá Chicó vs Millonarios analysis

Boyacá Chicó Millonarios
78 ELO 80
-14.3% Tilt -4.2%
510º General ELO ranking 360º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.2%
Boyacá Chicó
28.1%
Draw
34.6%
Millonarios

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
Boyacá Chicó
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.6%
Win probability
Millonarios
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boyacá Chicó
-17%
+8%
Millonarios

Points and table prediction

Boyacá Chicó
Their league position
Millonarios
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
14º
20º
19º
30
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América de Cali
33
37
57%
Santa Fe
30
34
18%
Millonarios
30
34
21%
At. Nacional
30
34
16.5%
Once Caldas
30
34
20.5%
Deportes Tolima
28
32
16.5%
Junior
26
30
23.5%
Fortaleza
24
28
26%
Deportivo Pasto
23
27
19%
Independiente Medellín
10º
22
26
10º
21%
Deportivo Pereira
11º
22
26
11º
19%
Atlético Bucaramanga
12º
21
25
12º
23%
La Equidad
13º
21
25
13º
20%
Águilas Doradas
14º
18
22
14º
31.5%
Deportivo Cali
16º
17
21
15º
31%
Patriotas Boyacá
15º
17
20
16º
42.5%
Alianza FC
17º
13
17
17º
40.5%
Jaguares FC
18º
11
15
18º
36.5%
Boyacá Chicó
19º
11
15
19º
28%
Envigado
20º
10
13
20º
58.5%
Expected probabilities
Boyacá Chicó
Millonarios
Next round
0% 99.5%
Mid-table
100% 0.5%

ELO progression

Boyacá Chicó
Millonarios
Junior
Atlético Bucaramanga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boyacá Chicó
Boyacá Chicó
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
3 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
31%
28%
41%
79 74 5 0
29 Oct. 2024
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
1 - 0
La Equidad
EQU
37%
28%
35%
78 80 2 +1
26 Oct. 2024
IND
Independiente Medellín
3 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
47%
26%
27%
79 80 1 -1
23 Oct. 2024
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
3 - 0
Independiente Medellín
IND
33%
26%
41%
77 80 3 +2
16 Oct. 2024
JAG
Jaguares FC
1 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
33%
29%
38%
78 76 2 -1

Matches

Millonarios
Millonarios
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2024
MIL
Millonarios
1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
44%
28%
27%
80 80 0 0
27 Oct. 2024
SFE
Santa Fe
0 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
41%
28%
31%
80 80 0 0
17 Oct. 2024
MIL
Millonarios
2 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
43%
28%
29%
80 80 0 0
12 Oct. 2024
AME
América de Cali
2 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
44%
27%
29%
80 80 0 0
09 Oct. 2024
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
45%
26%
29%
81 80 1 -1