Boyacá Chicó vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
JUN
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HUI
2 - 0
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
SFE
28%
28%
45%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ONC
4 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
EQU
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ENV
0 - 2
FOR
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
TOL
18%
25%
58%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |