Boyacá Chicó vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 0
CHI
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 1
ENV
52%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
BUC
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PAS
2 - 0
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 2
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 1
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
PAT
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 4
BUC
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |