Bourges Foot 18 vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
13º
13º
11
4º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
3 | 65 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 56 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 47 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 44 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 41 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 37 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 20 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GIR
0 - 0
BOU
67%
20%
12%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 3
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
DIN
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POI
1 - 2
BOU
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
4 - 2
LPS
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
DIN
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POI
1 - 2
SAU
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 1
LPS
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
SAU
25%
25%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
GRA
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |