Bourges Foot 18 vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
9º
8º
12
4º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
16 | 67 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 59 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 49 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 47 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 46 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 46 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 40 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 36 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 35 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 33 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 18 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 65% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GIR
0 - 0
BOU
67%
20%
12%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 3
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
DIN
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POI
1 - 2
BOU
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
4 - 2
LPS
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
DIN
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POI
1 - 2
SAU
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 1
LPS
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
SAU
25%
25%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
GRA
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |