Botev Ihtiman vs Granit Vladaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
5º
5º
13
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 25 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 24 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 21 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 19 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 19 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 18 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 15 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 14 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 12 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NAD
2 - 0
BOT
23%
23%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
RIL
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
OBO
2 - 3
BOT
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PIR
3 - 1
BOT
47%
24%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Granit Vladaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 1
GRV
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
GRV
0 - 1
SSO
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SSO
1 - 1
GRV
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GRV
0 - 0
PIR
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIH
4 - 1
GRV
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |