Botafogo SP vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
BOT
2 - 1
SCI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 2
BOT
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOT
54%
24%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ATP
2 - 2
COR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
COT
2 - 1
ATP
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1999 |
ATP
4 - 1
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 2
ATP
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |