Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 4-4
Botafogo vs SAO Raimundo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
82%
12%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
BOT
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 2
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 2
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SAO Raimundo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
REC
3 - 2
PAY
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
REM
3 - 1
REC
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
REC
2 - 0
ANA
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
REC
1 - 0
BOT
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 1
REC
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |