Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 3-1
Botafogo vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 2
BOT
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
BOT
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAG
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
GIM
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 2
BOT
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 0
PAT
17%
27%
56%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
3 - 1
FLA
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAT
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |