Botafogo vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 0
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 0
PAR
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
FLA
3 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
CRZ
1 - 2
ATP
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BRA
76%
15%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
3 - 1
CRZ
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 1
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRZ
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |