Botafogo vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 2
BOT
6%
20%
74%
|
89 | 44 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOT
16%
25%
59%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 4
VAS
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 3
BOT
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 0
JWI
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOT
16%
25%
59%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 0
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
AUR
3 - 0
VAC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |