U21 EC Qualifying round 1

Bosnia U21 vs Kazakhstan U21 analysis

Bosnia U21 Kazakhstan U21
52 ELO 46
7.5% Tilt -9.1%
3500º General ELO ranking 6566º
26º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
66.5%
Bosnia U21
18.8%
Draw
14.7%
Kazakhstan U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
Bosnia U21
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
Kazakhstan U21
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bosnia U21
-23%
+3%
Kazakhstan U21

ELO progression

Bosnia U21
Kazakhstan U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bosnia U21
Bosnia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2015
NOR
Norway U21
2 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
65%
20%
15%
54 61 7 0
05 Jun. 2015
BIH
Bosnia U21
0 - 0
Montenegro U21
MNE
46%
23%
30%
54 55 1 0
31 Mar. 2015
BIH
Bosnia U21
2 - 1
Turkey U21
TUR
21%
21%
58%
53 69 16 +1
08 Sep. 2014
BIH
Bosnia U21
1 - 4
Hungary U21
HUN
47%
23%
30%
54 55 1 -1
05 Sep. 2014
AUT
Austria U21
2 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
76%
15%
9%
55 69 14 -1

Matches

Kazakhstan U21
Kazakhstan U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2015
EST
Estonia U21
1 - 2
Kazakhstan U21
KAZ
33%
25%
43%
45 34 11 0
25 Mar. 2015
FIN
Finland U21
3 - 0
Kazakhstan U21
KAZ
57%
23%
20%
46 53 7 -1
25 Jan. 2015
KAZ
Kazakhstan U21
2 - 0
Tajikistan U21
TJK
69%
19%
13%
45 32 13 +1
21 Jan. 2015
BLR
Belarus U21
1 - 1
Kazakhstan U21
KAZ
63%
21%
16%
45 55 10 0
20 Jan. 2015
RSA
Sudáfrica U21
0 - 0
Kazakhstan U21
KAZ
15%
19%
66%
46 17 29 -1