U21 EC Qualifying round 2

Bosnia U21 vs Wales U21 analysis

Bosnia U21 Wales U21
57 ELO 53
0.6% Tilt -13.3%
3495º General ELO ranking 3195º
26º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Bosnia U21
23.4%
Draw
23.4%
Wales U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
Bosnia U21
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.4%
Win probability
Wales U21
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bosnia U21
-24%
+1%
Wales U21

ELO progression

Bosnia U21
Wales U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bosnia U21
Bosnia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2019
WAL
Wales U21
1 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
34%
26%
40%
57 53 4 0
15 Oct. 2019
BIH
Bosnia U21
0 - 2
Germany U21
GER
10%
17%
73%
58 82 24 -1
10 Sep. 2019
BEL
Belgium U21
0 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
60%
22%
18%
58 66 8 0
05 Jun. 2019
MLT
Malta U21
0 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
11%
19%
70%
57 30 27 +1
26 Mar. 2019
BIH
Bosnia U21
4 - 0
Moldavia U21
MDA
74%
17%
10%
57 42 15 0

Matches

Wales U21
Wales U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2019
WAL
Wales U21
1 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
34%
26%
40%
53 57 4 0
11 Oct. 2019
MDA
Moldavia U21
2 - 1
Wales U21
WAL
15%
22%
63%
54 40 14 -1
10 Sep. 2019
WAL
Wales U21
1 - 5
Germany U21
GER
7%
13%
80%
54 82 28 0
06 Sep. 2019
WAL
Wales U21
1 - 0
Belgium U21
BEL
17%
20%
64%
53 67 14 +1
11 Jun. 2019
ALB
Albania U21
3 - 1
Wales U21
WAL
29%
26%
45%
54 48 6 -1