B. Dortmund vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
MUN
2 - 0
BVB
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
KAI
0 - 1
BVB
36%
23%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
SAA
2 - 1
BVB
22%
21%
57%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
FCN
4 - 0
BVB
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1964 |
BVB
1 - 3
DUK
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1964 |
MSV
1 - 2
HER
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
MSV
5 - 1
EBT
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1964 |
MUN
0 - 0
MSV
67%
18%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1964 |
HER
5 - 2
MSV
27%
28%
46%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
HSV
3 - 3
MSV
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |