Champions League Quarter-finals

Global 2-4

B. Dortmund vs Manchester City analysis

B. Dortmund Manchester City
89 ELO 95
3.7% Tilt 34.9%
13º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.6%
B. Dortmund
21.3%
Draw
63.1%
Manchester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
B. Dortmund
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.1%
Win probability
Manchester City
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
B. Dortmund
-5%
-12%
Manchester City

ELO progression

B. Dortmund
Manchester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

B. Dortmund
B. Dortmund
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 3
B. Dortmund
BVB
14%
18%
68%
89 80 9 0
06 Apr. 2021
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
72%
16%
13%
89 95 6 0
03 Apr. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
52%
22%
26%
89 86 3 0
20 Mar. 2021
KOL
Köln
2 - 2
B. Dortmund
BVB
9%
15%
76%
90 76 14 -1
13 Mar. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
73%
17%
11%
89 79 10 +1

Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
85%
10%
4%
95 80 15 0
06 Apr. 2021
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
72%
16%
13%
95 89 6 0
03 Apr. 2021
LEI
Leicester
0 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
16%
22%
62%
95 89 6 0
20 Mar. 2021
EVE
Everton
0 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
11%
19%
70%
95 87 8 0
16 Mar. 2021
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
84%
11%
5%
95 85 10 0