B. Dortmund vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1986 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BVB
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
HAN
1 - 4
BVB
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
BVB
1 - 1
S04
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
STU
4 - 0
BVB
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
BVB
1 - 0
RTV
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1986 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BVB
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
KSC
2 - 2
KÖL
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1986 |
KÖL
6 - 0
BAY
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
BWB
3 - 1
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
USO
0 - 0
KÖL
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |