B. Dortmund vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1978 |
ARB
4 - 3
BVB
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
BVB
3 - 1
EIN
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
BVB
6 - 1
OFC
56%
19%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
S04
5 - 1
BVB
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
BVB
4 - 1
MSV
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1979 |
F95
1 - 1
RTV
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
RTV
1 - 0
HOM
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
DAR
3 - 1
RTV
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1978 |
RTV
2 - 2
KAI
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
HOM
0 - 0
RTV
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |