B. Dortmund vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
63.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
8º
4º
36
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 83 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 74 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 64 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 62 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 58 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 55 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 50 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 50 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 49 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 46 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 37 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 33 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 29 |
16º
|
38% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
28.5% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 21 |
18º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Champions League
|
59% | 11.5% |
|
Europa League
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
14% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
DZG
0 - 3
BVB
11%
17%
72%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
4 - 0
SCF
69%
18%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
M05
3 - 1
BVB
13%
19%
69%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
1 - 0
STR
84%
11%
5%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 1
RBL
37%
23%
40%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 0
PSG
68%
17%
14%
|
100 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
AUG
85%
11%
4%
|
100 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 0
SLB
84%
11%
5%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCU
83%
12%
5%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |