B. Dortmund vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
MSV
2 - 1
BVB
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
BVB
4 - 0
STU
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1966 |
BVB
3 - 1
WHU
76%
13%
10%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1966 |
WHU
1 - 2
BVB
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
KAI
0 - 0
BVB
29%
24%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
KOL
2 - 2
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
KSC
2 - 1
KOL
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
KOL
4 - 0
TAS
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
NEU
2 - 1
KOL
27%
22%
51%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
KOL
3 - 0
EBT
74%
16%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |