B. Dortmund U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
2º
1º
32
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 16 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
BOR
6 - 0
PRE
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
DZA
0 - 0
BOR
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 0
MEP
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 3
STR
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 0
MER
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FOR
4 - 1
MEP
63%
19%
19%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MER
0 - 4
FOR
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
DUI
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 3
FOR
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
PRE
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |