3. Liga round 6

B. Dortmund II vs Mainz 05 II analysis

B. Dortmund II Mainz 05 II
58 ELO 51
9.3% Tilt 8.8%
1071º General ELO ranking 2966º
45º Country ELO ranking 118º
ELO win probability
68.5%
B. Dortmund II
18.7%
Draw
12.8%
Mainz 05 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
B. Dortmund II
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
Mainz 05 II
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
B. Dortmund II
-7%
-17%
Mainz 05 II

ELO progression

B. Dortmund II
Mainz 05 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

B. Dortmund II
B. Dortmund II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2014
SGS
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
0 - 0
B. Dortmund II
BOR
40%
25%
35%
60 57 3 0
09 Aug. 2014
BOR
B. Dortmund II
5 - 1
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
45%
25%
30%
59 60 1 +1
05 Aug. 2014
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 0
B. Dortmund II
BOR
47%
25%
28%
59 63 4 0
02 Aug. 2014
BOR
B. Dortmund II
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel
HOL
41%
27%
33%
59 63 4 0
26 Jul. 2014
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1 - 2
B. Dortmund II
BOR
49%
25%
26%
59 61 2 0

Matches

Mainz 05 II
Mainz 05 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2014
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 5
Unterhaching
UNT
31%
25%
44%
51 59 8 0
09 Aug. 2014
SVS
Stuttgarter Kickers
2 - 0
Mainz 05 II
MAI
61%
23%
16%
52 61 9 -1
06 Aug. 2014
MAI
Mainz 05 II
3 - 4
MSV Duisburg
MSV
25%
27%
48%
52 64 12 0
02 Aug. 2014
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 2
Mainz 05 II
MAI
57%
23%
21%
52 55 3 0
26 Jul. 2014
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 2
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
19%
24%
57%
52 66 14 0