B. Dortmund II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 3
BOR
17%
21%
61%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
EIN
2 - 4
BOR
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 1
KÖL
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
WUP
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 3
BOR
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DIE
4 - 2
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 2
DIE
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
IDA
1 - 1
DIE
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 0
WIE
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 3
DIE
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |