Borgosesia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 3
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
BOR
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
PAV
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
BOR
19%
25%
56%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 0
ARC
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
OLG
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 5
VAR
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASD
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAR
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
GOZ
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |