Bonnyrigg Rose vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
8º
57
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CLY
3 - 2
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 3
BRA
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
PET
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
STE
1 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
PET
3 - 1
DUM
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 2
EAS
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 4
CLY
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 4
DUM
32%
25%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 1
STE
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |