1. Lig round 15

Boluspor vs Ankaragücü analysis

Boluspor Ankaragücü
75 ELO 84
-4.3% Tilt -16.5%
1098º General ELO ranking 286º
31º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
25.6%
Boluspor
26.6%
Draw
47.8%
Ankaragücü

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
Boluspor
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.8%
Win probability
Ankaragücü
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boluspor
+1%
-12%
Ankaragücü

Points and table prediction

Boluspor
Their league position
Ankaragücü
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
18º
15º
24
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fatih Karagümrük
31
74
64%
Bandirmaspor
33
68
30.5%
Kocaelispor
35
67
22%
Ankaragücü
24
63
20.5%
Corum FK
25
57
5%
Erzurumspor
29
56
11%
Gençlerbirliği SK
12º
23
56
9.5%
Pendikspor
11º
23
55
11%
Umraniyespor
14º
22
55
7%
Istanbulspor AS
24
54
10º
7.5%
Erokspor
13º
22
54
11º
8%
76 Iğdır
25
54
12º
8%
Keciorengucu
27
53
13º
8%
Manisa FK
10º
23
52
14º
9%
Boluspor
15º
22
51
15º
8%
Sakaryaspor
18º
21
50
16º
6.5%
Amedspor
16º
22
48
17º
10.5%
Sanliurfaspor
17º
21
47
18º
25.5%
Adanaspor
19º
11
28
19º
97.5%
Yeni Malatyaspor
20º
0
7
20º
99.5%
Expected probabilities
Boluspor
Ankaragücü
Promotion
0.5% 15%
Promotion play-offs
14% 67%
Mid-table
69.5% 18%
Relegation
16% 0%

ELO progression

Boluspor
Ankaragücü
Keciorengucu
Adanaspor
Amedspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boluspor
Boluspor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2024
SAK
Sakaryaspor
2 - 1
Boluspor
BOL
51%
26%
23%
75 76 1 0
23 Nov. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
1 - 0
Sanliurfaspor
SAN
49%
26%
25%
74 72 2 +1
10 Nov. 2024
BAN
Bandirmaspor
2 - 0
Boluspor
BOL
56%
24%
20%
75 78 3 -1
01 Nov. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
3 - 0
Umraniyespor
UMR
38%
27%
35%
74 75 1 +1
27 Oct. 2024
IST
Istanbulspor AS
1 - 2
Boluspor
BOL
52%
25%
23%
73 72 1 +1

Matches

Ankaragücü
Ankaragücü
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2024
KAR
Karsiyaka
1 - 2
Ankaragücü
ANK
12%
20%
68%
84 52 32 0
01 Dec. 2024
ANK
Ankaragücü
1 - 1
Pendikspor
PEN
57%
23%
20%
84 76 8 0
23 Nov. 2024
GEN
Gençlerbirliği SK
1 - 0
Ankaragücü
ANK
25%
26%
49%
84 73 11 0
08 Nov. 2024
ANK
Ankaragücü
3 - 0
Erokspor
ERO
63%
22%
16%
83 73 10 +1
03 Nov. 2024
IGD
76 Iğdır
1 - 0
Ankaragücü
ANK
31%
26%
44%
84 74 10 -1