1. Lig round 15

Boluspor vs Ankaragücü analysis

Boluspor Ankaragücü
74 ELO 84
-4.3% Tilt -16.5%
643º General ELO ranking 163º
27º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
25.6%
Boluspor
26.6%
Draw
47.8%
Ankaragücü

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
Boluspor
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.8%
Win probability
Ankaragücü
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boluspor
+7%
-7%
Ankaragücü

Points and table prediction

Boluspor
Their league position
Ankaragücü
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
18º
30
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fatih Karagümrük
35
72
56%
Kocaelispor
41
69
30.5%
Bandirmaspor
34
63
20.5%
Ankaragücü
30
62
17%
Corum FK
32
60
14%
Pendikspor
30
59
10.5%
Istanbulspor AS
30
58
5.5%
Erzurumspor
33
56
8.5%
Boluspor
31
56
8.5%
Gençlerbirliği SK
11º
30
55
10º
8%
Umraniyespor
13º
26
54
11º
7.5%
Sakaryaspor
16º
26
54
12º
9.5%
Amedspor
10º
30
53
13º
11%
Erokspor
14º
26
51
14º
6.5%
Keciorengucu
12º
27
49
15º
10.5%
Manisa FK
15º
26
49
16º
10.5%
76 Iğdır
17º
25
48
17º
14%
Sanliurfaspor
18º
25
47
18º
27%
Adanaspor
19º
15
28
19º
98%
Yeni Malatyaspor
20º
0
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Boluspor
Ankaragücü
Promotion
1% 12%
Promotion play-offs
30% 67.5%
Mid-table
63.5% 20%
Relegation
5.5% 0.5%

ELO progression

Boluspor
Ankaragücü
Umraniyespor
Erzurumspor
Gençlerbirliği SK
Erokspor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boluspor
Boluspor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2024
SAK
Sakaryaspor
2 - 1
Boluspor
BOL
51%
26%
23%
75 76 1 0
23 Nov. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
1 - 0
Sanliurfaspor
SAN
49%
26%
25%
74 72 2 +1
10 Nov. 2024
BAN
Bandirmaspor
2 - 0
Boluspor
BOL
56%
24%
20%
75 78 3 -1
01 Nov. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
3 - 0
Umraniyespor
UMR
38%
27%
35%
74 75 1 +1
27 Oct. 2024
IST
Istanbulspor AS
1 - 2
Boluspor
BOL
52%
25%
23%
73 72 1 +1

Matches

Ankaragücü
Ankaragücü
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2024
KAR
Karsiyaka
1 - 2
Ankaragücü
ANK
12%
20%
68%
83 53 30 0
01 Dec. 2024
ANK
Ankaragücü
1 - 1
Pendikspor
PEN
57%
23%
20%
83 76 7 0
23 Nov. 2024
GEN
Gençlerbirliği SK
1 - 0
Ankaragücü
ANK
25%
26%
49%
84 73 11 -1
08 Nov. 2024
ANK
Ankaragücü
3 - 0
Erokspor
ERO
63%
22%
16%
83 73 10 +1
03 Nov. 2024
IGD
76 Iğdır
1 - 0
Ankaragücü
ANK
31%
26%
44%
83 74 9 0