1. Lig round 15

Boluspor vs Ankaragücü analysis

Boluspor Ankaragücü
75 ELO 84
-4.3% Tilt -16.5%
724º General ELO ranking 172º
31º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
25.6%
Boluspor
26.6%
Draw
47.8%
Ankaragücü

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
Boluspor
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.8%
Win probability
Ankaragücü
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boluspor
+4%
-11%
Ankaragücü

Points and table prediction

Boluspor
Their league position
Ankaragücü
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
18º
14º
34
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kocaelispor
55
75
74.5%
Fatih Karagümrük
46
70
57.5%
Gençlerbirliği SK
44
62
27%
Erzurumspor
44
59
16%
Bandirmaspor
40
58
11%
Istanbulspor AS
39
57
8%
Corum FK
39
57
8.5%
Umraniyespor
12º
36
57
6%
Ankaragücü
14º
34
55
10.5%
Pendikspor
11º
37
55
10º
7.5%
Sakaryaspor
15º
34
55
11º
9%
Keciorengucu
38
53
12º
8%
Amedspor
38
53
13º
7.5%
Boluspor
10º
37
52
14º
8.5%
Erokspor
13º
35
51
15º
12%
76 Iğdır
17º
33
48
16º
10.5%
Manisa FK
16º
33
48
17º
16%
Sanliurfaspor
18º
30
45
18º
36%
Adanaspor
19º
21
30
19º
99%
Yeni Malatyaspor
20º
0
5
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Boluspor
Ankaragücü
Promotion
1% 0%
Promotion play-offs
13.5% 34.5%
Mid-table
77% 64%
Relegation
8.5% 1.5%

ELO progression

Boluspor
Ankaragücü
Erzurumspor
Corum FK
Adanaspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boluspor
Boluspor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2024
SAK
Sakaryaspor
2 - 1
Boluspor
BOL
51%
26%
23%
76 76 0 0
23 Nov. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
1 - 0
Sanliurfaspor
SAN
49%
26%
25%
75 73 2 +1
10 Nov. 2024
BAN
Bandirmaspor
2 - 0
Boluspor
BOL
56%
24%
20%
76 79 3 -1
01 Nov. 2024
BOL
Boluspor
3 - 0
Umraniyespor
UMR
38%
27%
35%
75 76 1 +1
27 Oct. 2024
IST
Istanbulspor AS
1 - 2
Boluspor
BOL
52%
25%
23%
74 73 1 +1

Matches

Ankaragücü
Ankaragücü
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2024
KAR
Karsiyaka
1 - 2
Ankaragücü
ANK
12%
20%
68%
84 54 30 0
01 Dec. 2024
ANK
Ankaragücü
1 - 1
Pendikspor
PEN
57%
23%
20%
84 77 7 0
23 Nov. 2024
GEN
Gençlerbirliği SK
1 - 0
Ankaragücü
ANK
25%
26%
49%
84 74 10 0
08 Nov. 2024
ANK
Ankaragücü
3 - 0
Erokspor
ERO
63%
22%
16%
84 74 10 0
03 Nov. 2024
IGD
76 Iğdır
1 - 0
Ankaragücü
ANK
31%
26%
44%
84 75 9 0