Bolton Wanderers vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
LIV
3 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
ASV
1 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 2
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 1
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 3
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1924 |
PNE
3 - 1
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |