Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 2
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 1
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
STO
4 - 0
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1949 |
BOL
4 - 1
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
MUD
1 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1949 |
HUR
2 - 1
MUD
29%
26%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
WOL
1 - 0
MUD
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1949 |
MUD
1 - 1
WOL
64%
18%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 0
MUD
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |