Bologna vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 2
BOL
16%
27%
57%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 0
RIM
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 2
BOL
20%
28%
52%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 1
USC
80%
15%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ABN
2 - 2
BOL
25%
29%
46%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
TRI
0 - 0
BAR
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 2
TRI
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
TRI
2 - 2
PIA
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
TOR
2 - 1
TRI
62%
24%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TRI
2 - 0
CRO
45%
27%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |