Bologna vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PES
2 - 3
BOL
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOL
3 - 3
ROM
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACM
2 - 1
BOL
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
INT
3 - 2
BOL
75%
16%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BOL
4 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 1
INT
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 0
SIE
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 0
SAM
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 2
SIE
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACM
2 - 1
SIE
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |