Bologna vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 1
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
TOR
5 - 1
BOL
89%
8%
4%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
SAM
2 - 0
BOL
52%
22%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 0
ACM
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 2
BOL
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
FIO
2 - 0
BAR
69%
17%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 2
FIO
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
SAL
2 - 0
FIO
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
FIO
2 - 0
ASL
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
NAP
3 - 0
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |