Bologna vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
INT
1 - 1
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
BOL
2 - 0
ATL
68%
18%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1947 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 2
BRE
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
ACM
4 - 2
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
FIO
2 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
FIO
2 - 2
GEN
54%
20%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1947 |
ACM
2 - 2
FIO
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
FIO
3 - 3
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |