Bolívar vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOL
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOL
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 0
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 0
BOL
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2011 |
OPE
3 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
OPE
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 0
AUR
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
OPE
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 2
BLO
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |