Bolívar vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
BOL
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ROY
4 - 2
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
CAL
4 - 0
BOL
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 2
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -3 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 2
ROY
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |