Bolívar vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1988 |
BOL
2 - 0
OLI
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 2
OPE
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 1
OLI
52%
27%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
AME
2 - 1
BOL
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 0
AME
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1988 |
OPE
2 - 2
CCP
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1988 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
MIL
0 - 2
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
AME
2 - 0
CCP
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
3 - 1
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |