Bognor Regis Town vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FAR
3 - 1
BOG
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
YEA
2 - 0
BOG
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BOG
2 - 4
BIS
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BOG
2 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
WES
2 - 2
BOG
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
THU
1 - 5
SAL
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2006 |
THU
2 - 4
EAS
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 4
THU
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
THU
2 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |