Bogen vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
JRE
3 - 1
BOG
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 1
FCG
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
BOG
2 - 1
LAN
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
RAI
4 - 1
BOG
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BOG
2 - 4
KIR
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
KOT
1 - 4
VIL
47%
22%
30%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DAC
0 - 2
KOT
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
KOT
4 - 1
HAH
46%
22%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
KOT
3 - 1
WOL
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PUL
2 - 2
KOT
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |