Boca Unidos vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAT
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 2
BUC
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
ATT
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 1
BUC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 2
HUR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
GBR
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
DES
1 - 4
INS
19%
26%
54%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
DES
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DES
0 - 1
GLP
23%
29%
48%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |