Sergipano round 2

Boca Júnior FC vs Dorense analysis

Boca Júnior FC Dorense
28 ELO 30
-4.6% Tilt -3.9%
11273º General ELO ranking 9044º
452º Country ELO ranking 385º
ELO win probability
34.3%
Boca Júnior FC
23.4%
Draw
42.3%
Dorense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
Boca Júnior FC
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.3%
Win probability
Dorense
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boca Júnior FC
-19%
+18%
Dorense

ELO progression

Boca Júnior FC
Dorense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boca Júnior FC
Boca Júnior FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2016
ITA
Itabaiana
0 - 0
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
58%
22%
20%
26 36 10 0
29 Mar. 2015
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
0 - 0
Itabaiana
ITA
33%
26%
41%
26 36 10 0
21 Mar. 2015
BOQ
Boquinhense
1 - 0
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
38%
24%
38%
27 23 4 -1
14 Mar. 2015
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
3 - 1
Amadense
AMA
40%
24%
36%
25 28 3 +2
11 Mar. 2015
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
2 - 1
Boquinhense
BOQ
48%
23%
29%
24 23 1 +1

Matches

Dorense
Dorense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
DOR
Dorense
3 - 1
Lagarto
LAG
40%
24%
36%
30 34 4 0