Sergipano 2 Fase de Grupos Jor. 9

Boca Júnior FC vs Frei Paulistano analysis

Boca Júnior FC Frei Paulistano
24 ELO 25
-8.5% Tilt -5.4%
10873º General ELO ranking 10550º
448º Country ELO ranking 441º
ELO win probability
39.6%
Boca Júnior FC
24.9%
Draw
35.5%
Frei Paulistano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
Boca Júnior FC
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.5%
Win probability
Frei Paulistano
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boca Júnior FC
-20%
-18%
Frei Paulistano

ELO progression

Boca Júnior FC
Frei Paulistano
Estanciano
Sete de Junho
Botafogo ASF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boca Júnior FC
Boca Júnior FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
2 - 1
Estanciano
EST
44%
25%
31%
24 23 1 0
15 Sep. 2024
EST
Estanciano
1 - 2
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
42%
25%
33%
23 23 0 +1
08 Sep. 2024
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
4 - 1
Sete de Junho
SDJ
58%
21%
22%
23 15 8 0
01 Sep. 2024
AFP
Frei Paulistano
2 - 1
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
41%
26%
33%
23 25 2 0
25 Aug. 2024
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
0 - 0
Botafogo ASF
ABS
72%
17%
12%
24 5 19 -1

Matches

Frei Paulistano
Frei Paulistano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
AFP
Frei Paulistano
6 - 0
Botafogo ASF
ABS
64%
20%
15%
24 8 16 0
15 Sep. 2024
ABS
Botafogo ASF
0 - 3
Frei Paulistano
AFP
14%
17%
69%
24 8 16 0
08 Sep. 2024
AFP
Frei Paulistano
0 - 1
Estanciano
EST
44%
26%
31%
25 23 2 -1
05 Sep. 2024
SDJ
Sete de Junho
0 - 0
Frei Paulistano
AFP
18%
19%
63%
26 14 12 -1
01 Sep. 2024
AFP
Frei Paulistano
2 - 1
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
41%
26%
33%
25 23 2 +1
X